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19:23:50","items":[{"horizon":7,"target_date":"2026-08-02","low":61693,"mid":65080.26,"high":68653.5,"direction":"flat","confidence":0.75,"rationale":"Log-linear trend over 60 days: -0.55% per week (R²=0.07), damped with the horizon. Daily volatility of 1.58% gives a modelled range from -5.7% to +5.0% against the last close of $65,400 over 7 days. RSI14 = 55 (neutral). Price is above its 30-day SMA. Fear & Greed: 26 (Fear). Measured coverage of this range at 7 days: 75% of past forecasts.","inputs":{"method":"loglin-60d + vol-30d","backtest":false,"window":{"from":"2026-05-28","to":"2026-07-26","n":60},"indicators":{"from":"2025-06-22","to":"2026-07-26","n":400,"price":65399.99,"sma7":65233.04856835215,"sma30":63301.74657193504,"rsi14":55.2761461892027,"vol30_daily_pct":1.58,"chg7_pct":1.13,"chg30_pct":8.96,"mdd90_pct":-28.59},"fng":{"value":26,"label":"Fear","d":"2026-07-26"},"cycles":{"ma200d":72110.08,"mayer":0.907,"mayer_pct":27.1,"ma200w":63312.59,"vs_ma200w_pct":3.3,"ath":124739.81,"ath_d":"2025-10-06","vs_ath_pct":-47.6,"days_since_ath":293,"underwater_days":293,"longest_underwater":1176,"longest_underwater_end":"2017-02-22","weeks":780},"slope_per_day":-0.000787,"r2":0.075,"sigma_daily":0.01578,"drift_tau":60,"measured_coverage_pct":75.4}},{"horizon":30,"target_date":"2026-08-25","low":57717.06,"mid":64470.42,"high":72013.98,"direction":"flat","confidence":0.67,"rationale":"Log-linear trend over 60 days: -0.55% per week (R²=0.07), damped with the horizon. Daily volatility of 1.58% gives a modelled range from -11.7% to +10.1% against the last close of $65,400 over 30 days. RSI14 = 55 (neutral). Price is above its 30-day SMA. Fear & Greed: 26 (Fear). Measured coverage of this range at 30 days: 67% of past forecasts.","inputs":{"method":"loglin-60d + vol-30d","backtest":false,"window":{"from":"2026-05-28","to":"2026-07-26","n":60},"indicators":{"from":"2025-06-22","to":"2026-07-26","n":400,"price":65399.99,"sma7":65233.04856835215,"sma30":63301.74657193504,"rsi14":55.2761461892027,"vol30_daily_pct":1.58,"chg7_pct":1.13,"chg30_pct":8.96,"mdd90_pct":-28.59},"fng":{"value":26,"label":"Fear","d":"2026-07-26"},"cycles":{"ma200d":72110.08,"mayer":0.907,"mayer_pct":27.1,"ma200w":63312.59,"vs_ma200w_pct":3.3,"ath":124739.81,"ath_d":"2025-10-06","vs_ath_pct":-47.6,"days_since_ath":293,"underwater_days":293,"longest_underwater":1176,"longest_underwater_end":"2017-02-22","weeks":780},"slope_per_day":-0.000787,"r2":0.075,"sigma_daily":0.01578,"drift_tau":60,"measured_coverage_pct":67.1}},{"horizon":180,"target_date":"2027-01-22","low":49015.36,"mid":64275.53,"high":84286.71,"direction":"down","confidence":0.57,"rationale":"Log-linear trend over 365 days: -1.35% per week (R²=0.85), damped with the horizon. Daily volatility of 1.58% gives a modelled range from -25.1% to +28.9% against the last close of $65,400 over 6 months. RSI14 = 55 (neutral). Price is above its 30-day SMA. Fear & Greed: 26 (Fear). Measured coverage of this range at 6 months: 57% of past forecasts.","inputs":{"method":"loglin-365d + vol-30d","backtest":false,"window":{"from":"2025-07-27","to":"2026-07-26","n":365},"indicators":{"from":"2025-06-22","to":"2026-07-26","n":400,"price":65399.99,"sma7":65233.04856835215,"sma30":63301.74657193504,"rsi14":55.2761461892027,"vol30_daily_pct":1.58,"chg7_pct":1.13,"chg30_pct":8.96,"mdd90_pct":-28.59},"fng":{"value":26,"label":"Fear","d":"2026-07-26"},"cycles":{"ma200d":72110.08,"mayer":0.907,"mayer_pct":27.1,"ma200w":63312.59,"vs_ma200w_pct":3.3,"ath":124739.81,"ath_d":"2025-10-06","vs_ath_pct":-47.6,"days_since_ath":293,"underwater_days":293,"longest_underwater":1176,"longest_underwater_end":"2017-02-22","weeks":780},"slope_per_day":-0.001935,"r2":0.846,"sigma_daily":0.01578,"drift_tau":60,"measured_coverage_pct":57.4}},{"horizon":365,"target_date":"2027-07-26","low":44386.82,"mid":65294.72,"high":96051.04,"direction":"flat","confidence":0.5,"rationale":"Log-linear trend over 365 days: -1.35% per week (R²=0.85), damped with the horizon. Daily volatility of 1.58% gives a modelled range from -32.1% to +46.9% against the last close of $65,400 over 1 year. RSI14 = 55 (neutral). Price is above its 30-day SMA. Fear & Greed: 26 (Fear). Measured coverage of this range at 1 year: 50% of past forecasts.","inputs":{"method":"loglin-365d + 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19:23:50","items":[{"horizon":7,"target_date":"2026-08-02","low":1818.5,"mid":1964.08,"high":2121.31,"direction":"flat","confidence":0.76,"rationale":"Log-linear trend over 60 days: +0.54% per week (R²=0.03), damped with the horizon. Daily volatility of 2.27% gives a modelled range from -7.0% to +8.5% against the last close of $1,955 over 7 days. RSI14 = 64 (neutral). Price is above its 30-day SMA. Fear & Greed: 26 (Fear). Measured coverage of this range at 7 days: 76% of past forecasts.","inputs":{"method":"loglin-60d + vol-30d","backtest":false,"window":{"from":"2026-05-28","to":"2026-07-26","n":60},"indicators":{"from":"2025-06-22","to":"2026-07-26","n":400,"price":1954.72,"sma7":1904.4012230792716,"sma30":1791.4614281281133,"rsi14":63.713317248025675,"vol30_daily_pct":2.27,"chg7_pct":4.48,"chg30_pct":23.96,"mdd90_pct":-33.92},"fng":{"value":26,"label":"Fear","d":"2026-07-26"},"cycles":{"ma200d":2144.76,"mayer":0.911,"mayer_pct":42.8,"ma200w":2478.71,"vs_ma200w_pct":-21.1,"ath":4817.76,"ath_d":"2025-08-22","vs_ath_pct":-59.4,"days_since_ath":338,"underwater_days":338,"longest_underwater":1382,"longest_underwater_end":"2025-08-21","weeks":542},"slope_per_day":0.000767,"r2":0.034,"sigma_daily":0.02274,"drift_tau":60,"measured_coverage_pct":76}},{"horizon":30,"target_date":"2026-08-25","low":1690.08,"mid":1982.18,"high":2324.77,"direction":"flat","confidence":0.65,"rationale":"Log-linear trend over 60 days: +0.54% per week (R²=0.03), damped with the horizon. Daily volatility of 2.27% gives a modelled range from -13.5% to +18.9% against the last close of $1,955 over 30 days. RSI14 = 64 (neutral). Price is above its 30-day SMA. Fear & Greed: 26 (Fear). Measured coverage of this range at 30 days: 65% of past forecasts.","inputs":{"method":"loglin-60d + vol-30d","backtest":false,"window":{"from":"2026-05-28","to":"2026-07-26","n":60},"indicators":{"from":"2025-06-22","to":"2026-07-26","n":400,"price":1954.72,"sma7":1904.4012230792716,"sma30":1791.4614281281133,"rsi14":63.713317248025675,"vol30_daily_pct":2.27,"chg7_pct":4.48,"chg30_pct":23.96,"mdd90_pct":-33.92},"fng":{"value":26,"label":"Fear","d":"2026-07-26"},"cycles":{"ma200d":2144.76,"mayer":0.911,"mayer_pct":42.8,"ma200w":2478.71,"vs_ma200w_pct":-21.1,"ath":4817.76,"ath_d":"2025-08-22","vs_ath_pct":-59.4,"days_since_ath":338,"underwater_days":338,"longest_underwater":1382,"longest_underwater_end":"2025-08-21","weeks":542},"slope_per_day":0.000767,"r2":0.034,"sigma_daily":0.02274,"drift_tau":60,"measured_coverage_pct":64.8}},{"horizon":180,"target_date":"2027-01-22","low":1288.89,"mid":1904.63,"high":2814.52,"direction":"down","confidence":0.68,"rationale":"Log-linear trend over 365 days: -2.01% per week (R²=0.86), damped with the horizon. Daily volatility of 2.27% gives a modelled range from -34.1% to +44.0% against the last close of $1,955 over 6 months. RSI14 = 64 (neutral). Price is above its 30-day SMA. Fear & Greed: 26 (Fear). Measured coverage of this range at 6 months: 68% of past forecasts.","inputs":{"method":"loglin-365d + vol-30d","backtest":false,"window":{"from":"2025-07-27","to":"2026-07-26","n":365},"indicators":{"from":"2025-06-22","to":"2026-07-26","n":400,"price":1954.72,"sma7":1904.4012230792716,"sma30":1791.4614281281133,"rsi14":63.713317248025675,"vol30_daily_pct":2.27,"chg7_pct":4.48,"chg30_pct":23.96,"mdd90_pct":-33.92},"fng":{"value":26,"label":"Fear","d":"2026-07-26"},"cycles":{"ma200d":2144.76,"mayer":0.911,"mayer_pct":42.8,"ma200w":2478.71,"vs_ma200w_pct":-21.1,"ath":4817.76,"ath_d":"2025-08-22","vs_ath_pct":-59.4,"days_since_ath":338,"underwater_days":338,"longest_underwater":1382,"longest_underwater_end":"2025-08-21","weeks":542},"slope_per_day":-0.002897,"r2":0.864,"sigma_daily":0.02274,"drift_tau":60,"measured_coverage_pct":68}},{"horizon":365,"target_date":"2027-07-26","low":1118.24,"mid":1950.01,"high":3400.47,"direction":"flat","confidence":0.67,"rationale":"Log-linear trend over 365 days: -2.01% per week (R²=0.86), damped with the horizon. 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Measured coverage of this range at 1 year: 67% of past forecasts.","inputs":{"method":"loglin-365d + 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